- PAKISTAN ECONOMIC and SOCIAL REVIEW, Vol # 48, Issue # 1
- EXPLORING THE EFFECT OF TOTAL FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH ON FUTURE OUTPUT GROWTH Evidence from a Panel of East Asian Countries
EXPLORING THE EFFECT OF TOTAL FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH ON FUTURE OUTPUT GROWTH Evidence from a Panel of East Asian Countries
- HAFIZ KHALIL AHMAD/
- Muhammad Ilyas/
- TAHIR MAHMOOD/
- MUHAMMAD AFZAL/
- June 30, 2010
Total factor productivity (TFP) has gained increased importance as it has been helpful in accelerating the rate of economic growth in developed countries. The East Asian Countries (EACs) have also followed the developed countries. There has been a debate among growth economists whether the unprecedented growth of these countries has been factor-driven or productivity-driven. In this backdrop, the present study has tested the predictability of TFP for economic growth in four EACs (Hong Kong, Korea, Malaysia and Thailand) using the fixed effects regression model and the pooled regression model over the period 1970-2004. The study concludes that productivity growth is a significant source of output growth as well as of investment growth. Further, the countries under study converge to their own steady state paths.
Atkinson, A. B. and J. E. Stiglitz (1969), A new view of technological change. Economic Journal, Volume 79, pp. 573-578.
Collins, S. M. and B. P. Bosworth (1996), Economic growth in East Asia: Accumulation versus assimilation. Brooking’s Papers on Economic Activity, Volume 2, pp. 135-203.
Comin, D. and G. Mark (2006), Medium-term business cycles. American Economic Review, Volume 96(3), pp. 523-551.
Han, Myung Jin (2003), Testing the Predictive Ability of Measures of Total Factor Productivity Growth. Unpublished Ph.D. dissertation, University of Missouri-Columbia.
Hsiao, Cheng (1986), Analysis of Panel Data. Cambridge University Press.
Im, K. S., M. H. Pesaran and Y. Shin (2003), Testing for unit roots in heterogeneous panels. Journal of Econometrics, Volume 115, pp. 53-74.
Khan, S. U. (2006), Macroeconomic determinants of total factor productivity in Pakistan. Working Paper No. 10, State Bank of Pakistan, February 2006.
Kim, Jong-Il and Laurence J. Lau (1994), The sources of economic growth of East Asian newly industrialized countries. Journal of the Japanese and International Economics, Volume 8, pp. 235-271.
Koeve, Petya (2000), The facts about time-to-build. IMF Working Paper, pp. 545-564.
Lapan, H. and P. Bardhan (1997), Localised technical progress and the transfer of technology and economic development. Journal of Economic Theory, Volume 6, pp. 585-95.
Levin, A., C. F. Lin and C. Chu (2002), Unit root tests in panel data: Asymptotic and finite-sample properties. Journal of Econometrics, Volume 108, pp. 1-24.
Limam, Y. R. and S. M. Miller (2004), Explaining economic growth: Factor accumulation, total factor productivity growth, and production efficiency improvement. University of Connecticut Working Paper, 20.
Nehru, V. and A. Dhareshwar (1993), A new database on physical capital stock: Sources, methodology and results. Revista de Analisis Economiico, Volume 8, pp. 37-59.
Solow, R. (1956), A contribution to the theory of economic growth. Quarterly Journal of Economics, Volume 70, pp. 65-94.
Solow, R. (1957), Technical change and the aggregate production function. Review of Economics and Statistics, August, pp. 312-320.
Van, P. H. and H. Y. Wan (1997), Interpreting East Asian growth. Dynamics, Economic Growth and International Trade edited by Bjarne Jensen and Kar-yiu Wong. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.
Van, P. H., G. S. Park and D. S. Ha (2003), Missing a miracle: How aggregate TFP accounting overlooks sectoral efficiency gains. Journal of the Korean Economy, Volume 4, pp. 1-28.
Young, Alwan (1992), A tale of two cities: Factor accumulation and technological change in Hong Kong and Singapore. NBER Macroeconomics Annual, The MIT Press.
Young, Alwan (1995), The tyranny of numbers: Confronting the statistical realities of the East Asian growth experiences. Quarterly Journal of Economics, Volume 110, pp. 641-680.
Statistics
Author(s):
Details:
Type: | Articles |
Volume: | 48 |
Issue: | 1 |
Language: | English |
Id: | 6088f265759ac |
Pages | 105 - 122 |
Published | June 30, 2010 |
Statistics
|
---|
Copyrights
The research published by Pakistan Economic and Social Review (PESR) is licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. It allows readers to Share_ copy and redistribute, Adapt_ remix and transform. PESR offers free full text downloading to its online contents to all readers. No subscription fee is required to read and download online articles. |
---|
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.